关键词：
Forecasting
摘要：
The accurate prediction of soil compaction parameters has practical significance for improving soil bearing capacity and reducing compressibility in geotechnical engineering. The existing models have certain limitations in prediction progress and engineering applicability, and ignore the quantification of model prediction uncertainty. Genetic programming (GP) was used to model and predict two important soil compaction parameters (optimal water content and maximum dry density) for 226 groups of soil compaction test data with extensive and representativeness. The optimal display models of optimal water content and maximum dry density were obtained respectively, and the prediction results were compared with the results of existing prediction models. The GP model was quantified by combining quantile regression method and uncertainty statistics. The results show that the compaction parameters are most affected by fine grain content and plastic limit, while the gravel content and liquid limit have the least influence on them. Therefore, in practical engineering, the optimal compaction effect can be achieved by preferentially adjusting the fine grain content and plastic limit, while the gravel content (CG) and the liquid limit have the least influence on them. Therefore, in practical engineering, the optimal compaction effect can be achieved by preferentially adjusting the fine grain content (CF) and the plastic limit in the soil. In addition, the quantile regression (QR) method provides 90 % confidence and the mean prediction interval (MPI) is less than 0. 3. At the same time, most of the data fall within the range of uncertain bands, indicating that the GP algorithm has strong prediction ability and high prediction accuracy. This interpretable display model is more convenient for engineering applications. © 2025 Beijing Kexue Jishu yu Gongcheng Zazhishe. All rights reserved.
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